Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 17, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Ezekiel Clark		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.59	2.27
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.69	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	2.2 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ezekiel Clark
57.7%

Mert Alkaya
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ezekiel Clark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ezekiel Clark's performance.

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Alkaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ezekiel Clark than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ezekiel Clark that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mert Alkaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ezekiel Clark - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Clark is ranked ATP: 757. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 804.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Clark could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ezekiel Clark
ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Ezekiel Clark - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Ezekiel Clark	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Ezekiel Clark - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Naoya Honda - Ezekiel Clark	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Ezekiel Clark - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Charlie Camus	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

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