Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 16, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Olaf Pieczkowski		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.69	2.11
	1.74	2.02
	1.62	2.2
	1.71	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaf Pieczkowski
55.6%

Mert Alkaya
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olaf Pieczkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olaf Pieczkowski's performance.

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Alkaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olaf Pieczkowski than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Olaf Pieczkowski - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pieczkowski is ranked ATP: 577. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 804.

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olaf Pieczkowski
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Ezekiel Clark	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Leonardo Rossi	Rossi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLL?
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Dominik Kellovsky	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Blake Mott - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL

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