Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Fabio Fognini		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.27	1.65
	2.21	1.64	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.37	1.54	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.73)	1.57 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
40.5%

Constant Lestienne
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constant Lestienne's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Lestienne will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 95. Lestienne is ranked ATP: 176.

Recent matches Lestienne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Fabio Fognini - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
ATP Adelaide
04.01.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Fabio Fognini	Fognini F. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Pedro Araujo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WL???
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Constant Lestienne - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Adam Walton - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Arthur Cazaux - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Constant Lestienne - Stefan Dostanic	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Constant Lestienne - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
22.03.23	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	Canceled

Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide