Match Info

Date: 11 February 2021, Thursday


	Fabio Fognini		Salvatore Caruso

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.75
	1.44	2.65
	1.48	2.87
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)	2.78 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
65.8%

Salvatore Caruso
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.5%	0%	16.5%

Fabio Fognini - Salvatore Caruso Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (81 of 97 users predict this - 83.51%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 90.89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Caruso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fognini will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Australian Open
09.02.21	Fabio Fognini - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	3:0 ✺
ATP Cup
06.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
05.02.21	Fabio Fognini - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
02.02.21	Fabio Fognini - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
01.02.21	Dennis Novak - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL
- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Henri Laaksonen - Salvatore Caruso	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
04.02.21	Miomir Kecmanovic - Salvatore Caruso	2:1 ✺
02.02.21	Salvatore Caruso - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
01.02.21	Andreas Seppi - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
ATP Antalya
07.01.21	Salvatore Caruso - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Fabio Fognini - Salvatore Caruso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide