Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reggio Emilia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Fabrizio Andaloro		Gian Marco Ortenzi

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Fabrizio Andaloro
72.1%

Gian Marco Ortenzi
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabrizio Andaloro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabrizio Andaloro's form might have worsened.

Gian Marco Ortenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gian Marco Ortenzi's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Andaloro is ranked ATP: 354. Ortenzi is ranked ATP: 1169.

Andaloro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ortenzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Andaloro is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabrizio Andaloro
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Raffaele Ciurnelli - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Fabrizio Andaloro - Nicolas Barrientos	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Gian Marco Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Gian Marco Ortenzi - Giuseppe La Vela	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Ali Yazdani - Gian Marco Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Alessandro Battiston - Gian Marco Ortenzi	Ortenzi G. M. retired ✺
09.10.25	Abel Forger - Gian Marco Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Gian Marco Ortenzi - Yassine Smiej	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LL?LW

Fabrizio Andaloro - Gian Marco Ortenzi