Match Info

Date: 2 March 2021, Tuesday


	Facundo Bagnis		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.96	1.84	Watch
	2	1.76
	2.12	1.79
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.67)	1.8 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Bagnis
47%

Francis Tiafoe
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Bagnis's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Bagnis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.8%	0%	71.2%

Facundo Bagnis - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Bagnis will win (votes: 19 - 28.8%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 47 - 71.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 60.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bagnis is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bagnis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Cordoba
27.02.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
26.02.21	Jozef Kovalik - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
24.02.21	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
23.02.21	Facundo Bagnis - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
22.02.21	Facundo Bagnis - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Australian Open
09.02.21	Novak Djokovic - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
08.02.21	Francis Tiafoe - Stefano Travaglia	3:0 ✺
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
31.01.21	Francis Tiafoe - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.01.21	Francis Tiafoe - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
10.01.21	Francis Tiafoe - Bjorn Fratangelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.04.15	Facundo Bagnis - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

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