Match Info

Date: 24 March 2021, Wednesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.33	3.35	Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.39	3.29
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.26 ↑ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
70.7%

Stefano Travaglia
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	0%	20.7%

Francis Tiafoe - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tiafoe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Travaglia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Travaglia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Travaglia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Acapulco
17.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
16.03.21	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.03.21	Kevin Anderson - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
ATP Santiago
10.03.21	Francis Tiafoe - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
08.03.21	Francis Tiafoe - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LW?LW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Acapulco
16.03.21	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.03.21	Stefano Travaglia - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Francis Tiafoe - Stefano Travaglia	3:0 ✺
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
06.02.21	Stefano Travaglia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
05.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Francis Tiafoe - Stefano Travaglia	3:0

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