Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.79	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.08)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
35.4%

Zizou Bergs
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zizou Bergs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.3%	0%	83.7%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (41 of 49 users predict this - 83.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.32% – 94.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 78. Bergs is ranked ATP: 66.

Recent matches Diaz Acosta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bergs is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bergs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bergs will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Bergs to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Diaz Acosta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Gael Monfils - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Cameron Norrie - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
03.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Ajeet Rai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWLW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Auckland
10.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Nuno Borges - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
08.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Isaac Becroft	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
15.10.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zizou Bergs	0:2

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