Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland (New Zealand), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday


	Zizou Bergs		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.69	2.13	Watch
	1.66	2.27	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.18	Watch
	1.69	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
56.8%

Luca Nardi
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Zizou Bergs - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 66. Nardi is ranked ATP: 90.

Bergs is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nardi in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bergs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Auckland
05.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Isaac Becroft	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. retired ✺
04.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
03.01.25	Daniel Masur - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Martin Landaluce - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.22	Zizou Bergs - Luca Nardi	1:2

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