Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Facundo Mena		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.51	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.11)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
37.7%

Gustavo Heide
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Mena's form might have worsened.

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Heide's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Mena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gustavo Heide, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Facundo Mena - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Mena will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 224. Heide is ranked ATP: 174.

Mena is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Heide is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gustavo Heide - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Facundo Mena	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Facundo Mena - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Facundo Mena - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Facundo Mena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWWW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Gabriel Debru - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Max Houkes - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
20.01.25	Federico Coria - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
05.01.25	Laslo Djere - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL

Facundo Mena - Gustavo Heide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide