Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santiago, clay - Final

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Facundo Mena		Matias Soto

	1	2
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
62.3%

Matias Soto
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Mena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matias Soto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Facundo Mena - Matias Soto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 322. Soto is ranked ATP: 386.

Now, both players are in good form.

Mena might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Mena - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Matias Soto - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Facundo Mena - Kaylan Bigun	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Facundo Mena - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Facundo Mena - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Facundo Mena - Simon Ignacio Flores Leyton	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Facundo Mena - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL
- Matias Soto
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Sean Cuenin - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Mateo Del Pino - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Javier Guzman - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Matias Soto - Daniel Salazar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.06.24	Matias Soto - Facundo Mena	1:2
25.03.24	Matias Soto - Facundo Mena	2:0
28.11.23	Facundo Mena - Matias Soto	0:2

Facundo Mena - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide