Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Fajing Sun		David Jorda Sanchis

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.68	2.27
	1.29	3.31	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.63	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
59.5%

David Jorda Sanchis
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

David Jorda Sanchis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Jorda Sanchis than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	0%	89.7%

Fajing Sun - David Jorda Sanchis Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Jorda Sanchis will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jorda Sanchis: 78.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): David Jorda Sanchis will win (40 of 41 users predict this - 97.56%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 271. Jorda Sanchis is ranked ATP: 387.

Sun is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jorda Sanchis is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sun might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Jorda Sanchis will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

David Jorda Sanchis - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.17%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Florent Bax - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Fajing Sun - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Tibo Colson - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- David Jorda Sanchis
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Sanhui Shin	Jorda Sanchis D. retired ✺
25.01.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Thanh Minh Truong	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Hyeon Chung	Chung H. walkover ✺
17.01.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Maxim Zhukov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?WW?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Fajing Sun	✺

Fajing Sun - David Jorda Sanchis