Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.72	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)	2.05 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
54.7%

Fajing Sun
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hayato Matsuoka's performance.

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fajing Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hayato Matsuoka - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sun will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Matsuoka (votes: 2 - 50%). Sun (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 393. Sun is ranked ATP: 274.

Matsuoka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Matsuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuoka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Fajing Sun - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	James Duckworth - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW
- Fajing Sun
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Fajing Sun - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Fajing Sun - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Fajing Sun - Fnu Nidunjianzan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Fajing Sun - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1

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