Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Fajing Sun		Omar Jasika

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.35
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
58.1%

Omar Jasika
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fajing Sun's performance.

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Omar Jasika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Fajing Sun - Omar Jasika Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Jasika will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sun: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sun (votes: 2 - 50%). Jasika (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Sun (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sun (votes: 3 - 60%). Jasika (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 238. Jasika is ranked ATP: 202.

Sun has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jasika has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Fajing Sun - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	James McCabe - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Fajing Sun - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Fajing Sun - Ye Cong Mo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Fajing Sun - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL
- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Rigele Te - Omar Jasika	Te R. retired ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Omar Jasika - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. retired ✺
22.07.25	Mark Lajal - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 ?LL?L

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