Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 YINCHUAN (CHINA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday


	Fajing Sun		Yan Bai

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.77	2.02
	1.8	1.91
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	1.87	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
51.6%

Yan Bai
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Yan Bai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fajing Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yan Bai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Fajing Sun - Yan Bai Predictions

Users Predictions: Fajing Sun will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bai is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bai could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Sun to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ITF Tournaments
17.08.23	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
16.08.23	Jimmy Yang - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
16.08.23	Ray Ho - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Rigele Te - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Yan Bai
ITF Tournaments
17.08.23	Yan Bai - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Yan Bai - Aliaksandr Liaonenka	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Zhe Li - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
03.08.23	Evan Zhu - Yan Bai	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Bang Shuo Yin - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.08.19	Fajing Sun - Yan Bai	0:2

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