Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Jie Cui		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.46	1.58
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.16	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.74)	1.59 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jie Cui
41.5%

Fajing Sun
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jie Cui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jie Cui's form might have worsened.

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajing Sun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jie Cui than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jie Cui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajing Sun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jie Cui - Fajing Sun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cui is ranked ATP: 454. Sun is ranked ATP: 323.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sun will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cui won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Jie Cui - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jie Cui
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Jie Cui - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Jie Cui - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Fajing Sun - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Fajing Sun - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.09.24	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	2:1
24.05.24	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	2:0
19.08.23	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	2:0
05.08.23	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	1:2

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