Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Guimaraes, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guimaraes 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Fangran Tian		Ariana Arseneault

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Fangran Tian
69.8%

Ariana Arseneault
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fangran Tian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ariana Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Tian is ranked WTA: 245. Arseneault is ranked WTA: 432.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tian is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Fangran Tian - Diana Marcinkevica	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Elena Micic - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Fangran Tian - Victoria Milovanova	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Fangran Tian - Emma Mazzoni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW
- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Ariana Arseneault - Maria Oliver Sanchez	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Angelina Voloshchuk - Ariana Arseneault	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Nahia Berecoechea - Ariana Arseneault	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Berta Bonardi - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Elizabeth Jurna - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
28.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Sara Saito	✺

Fangran Tian - Ariana Arseneault