Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Shenyang, hard - Final

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Fangzhou Liu		Aliona Falei

	1	2
	2.22	1.64
	2.49	1.46	Watch
	2.16	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.97)	1.58 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fangzhou Liu
40.8%

Aliona Falei
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fangzhou Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fangzhou Liu's form might have worsened.

Aliona Falei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliona Falei's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fangzhou Liu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fangzhou Liu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliona Falei, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fangzhou Liu - Aliona Falei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Liu is ranked WTA: 490. Falei is ranked WTA: 323.

Now, both players are in good form.

Liu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Falei could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Falei will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fangzhou Liu
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Saki Imamura - Fangzhou Liu	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Fangzhou Liu - Junhan Zhang	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Xinxin Yao - Fangzhou Liu	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Peangtarn Plipuech - Fangzhou Liu	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Jana Kolodynska - Fangzhou Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Aliona Falei - Kira Pavlova	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Aliona Falei - Hikaru Sato	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Aliona Falei - Ayumi Koshiishi	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Aliona Falei - Yuhan Wang	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Aliona Falei - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

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