Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 6, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	Faris Zakaryia		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	3.7	1.22
	3.7	1.26
	3.64	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.46	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.75)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Faris Zakaryia
26.1%

Lucas Poullain
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Faris Zakaryia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Faris Zakaryia's form might have worsened.

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faris Zakaryia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Faris Zakaryia - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zakaryia is ranked ATP: 616. Poullain is ranked ATP: 408.

Zakaryia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Poullain is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zakaryia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Poullain is the team to beat.

We predict that Poullain will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Faris Zakaryia
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Faris Zakaryia - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Faris Zakaryia - Ofek Shimanov	Shimanov O. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.25	Francisco Rocha - Faris Zakaryia	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Lorenzo Rottoli - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Karim Ibrahim - Faris Zakaryia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 W?LLW
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Dominique Graf - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Matthew Summers - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Faris Zakaryia - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide