Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 11, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Alessandra Mazzola		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.77	1.97
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandra Mazzola
52.5%

Federica Urgesi
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandra Mazzola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+4%)

Alessandra Mazzola - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mazzola is ranked WTA: 479. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 395.

Mazzola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Urgesi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Urgesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mazzola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alessandra Mazzola - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Federica Urgesi - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Mathilde Lollia	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Julie Struplova	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Ylena In-Albon	Mazzola A. retired ✺
28.08.25	Lisa Pigato - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Susan Bandecchi	Bandecchi S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WL?L?
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Eleonora Alvisi - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Maria Toma - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.08.24	Alessandra Mazzola - Federica Urgesi	0:2

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