Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.8	1.39	Watch
	3.02	1.4
	3.03	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.41)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
32.6%

Henrique Rocha
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 228. Rocha is ranked ATP: 168.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rocha will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
23.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Francesco Passaro - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
26.09.24	Henrique Rocha - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Casper Ruud - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Laurent Lokoli - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 W?WLW

Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide