Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Henrique Rocha		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	2.49	1.55
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.95)	1.5 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
37.8%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Thiago Seyboth Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Seyboth Wild might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Seyboth Wild could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Henrique Rocha - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 158. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 96.

Recent matches Rocha is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Seyboth Wild is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Seyboth Wild could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Seyboth Wild will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Seyboth Wild to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Casper Ruud - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Laurent Lokoli - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Dan Added - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 ?WLWW
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
22.09.24	Jaume Munar - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Carlos Taberner - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Michael Vrbensky - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Dmitry Popko - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

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