Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Nerman Fatic

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.53
	2.52	1.53
	3.10	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.27)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
36.7%

Nerman Fatic
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Nerman Fatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-5%)

Federico Arnaboldi - Nerman Fatic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Arnaboldi (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Fatic (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Federico Arnaboldi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Fatic (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 408. Fatic is ranked ATP: 214.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Arnaboldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fatic could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Nicola Rispoli	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Niklas Schell - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Erwin Troebinger - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLW
- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Nerman Fatic	Andaloro F. retired ✺
03.11.25	Nerman Fatic - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Marko Miladinovic	Fatic N. retired ✺
22.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Antonio Voljavec	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 ?L?WL

Federico Arnaboldi - Nerman Fatic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide