Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Nerman Fatic		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.39	1.50	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.09)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
34.8%

Calvin Hemery
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nerman Fatic's form might have worsened.

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calvin Hemery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nerman Fatic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Nerman Fatic - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fatic will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Hemery will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemery: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Calvin Hemery will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Fatic is ranked ATP: 210. Hemery is ranked ATP: 225.

Fatic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hemery has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hemery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Marko Miladinovic	Fatic N. retired ✺
22.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Antonio Voljavec	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?WLWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
12.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Otto Virtanen - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Jordan Thompson	Thompson J. retired ✺
07.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLL?W

Upcoming Matches