Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 OPATIJA (CROATIA), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.25	1.57
	2.31	1.59
	2.31	1.59
	2	1.73
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
42.5%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaboldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Giovanni Oradini - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Noah Thurner - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Michiel De Krom - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
15.03.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Sebastian Sorger - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Alessandro Pecci	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Duje Markovina	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Peter Fajta - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.03.23	Federico Arnaboldi - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0

Federico Arnaboldi - Oleksandr Ovcharenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide