Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Edgbaston (United Kingdom), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday


	Federico Bondioli		James Story

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	2.65	1.4
	2.65	1.46
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.69	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.36)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
34.8%

James Story
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for James Story, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 684. Story is ranked ATP: 845.

Recent matches Bondioli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Story is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bondioli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Story will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Story to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ITF Tournaments
16.10.24	Federico Bondioli - Paul Valsecchi	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Federico Bondioli - Michael Shaw	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.24	Giovanni Oradini - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Federico Bondioli - Ilya Snitari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- James Story
ITF Tournaments
16.10.24	Filippo Romano - James Story	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	James Story - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	James Story - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Michael Bassem Sobhy - James Story	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Guillaume Dalmasso - James Story	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW

Federico Bondioli - James Story: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide