Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Koszalin, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Federico Bondioli		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
			Watch
	33.83	1.02
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.14 ↑ (1.73)	1.75 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
19.7%

Maks Kasnikowski
80.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Bondioli's form might have worsened.

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maks Kasnikowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+33.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-33.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federico Bondioli - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 409. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 528.

Recent performances by Bondioli have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kasnikowski is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bondioli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Federico Bondioli - Marcel Kamrowski	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Federico Bondioli - Przemyslaw Michocki	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Federico Bondioli - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Federico Bondioli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLW?
- Maks Kasnikowski
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Karol Filar - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	John Hallquist Lithen - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Mikalai Haliak - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Mees Rottgering	Rottgering M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLW?

Federico Bondioli - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide