Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 4 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Federico Bondioli		Nicholas David Ionel

	1	2
	2.54	1.44
	2.61	1.45
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.59	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.24)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
35.7%

Nicholas David Ionel
64.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Bondioli's form might have worsened.

Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicholas David Ionel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Federico Bondioli - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 503. Ionel is ranked ATP: 356.

Recent matches Bondioli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ionel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ionel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ionel will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ionel to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Bondioli - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Federico Bondioli - Maximilian Figl	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Federico Bondioli - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Federico Bondioli - Luciano Carraro	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Guy Den Ouden - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Michele Ribecai - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Nicholas David Ionel
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Liam Broady - Nicholas David Ionel	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Andrey Chepelev - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Tim Handel - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Alex Martinez - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW

Federico Bondioli - Nicholas David Ionel

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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