Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTO DOMINGO (DOMINICAN REPUBLIC), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday


	Federico Coria		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.26	3.5
	1.3	3.6
	1.29	3.85
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.48	Watch
	1.29	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
73.4%

Bernard Tomic
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Federico Coria - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tomic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Coria is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
09.08.23	Federico Coria - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
08.08.23	Federico Coria - Jorge Brian Panta	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
29.07.23	Federico Coria - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
27.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
09.08.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
08.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
01.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
26.07.23	Bernard Tomic - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWL

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