Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LEXINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday


	Bernard Tomic		Seong Chan Hong

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.5	1.5
	2.65	1.5
	2.25	1.57
	2.78	1.4	Watch
	2.41	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.04)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
37.9%

Seong Chan Hong
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Seong Chan Hong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seong Chan Hong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seong Chan Hong than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seong Chan Hong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Bernard Tomic - Seong Chan Hong Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hong will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tomic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hong is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hong will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
26.07.23	Bernard Tomic - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Martin Damm - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
13.07.23	Jason Jung - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Evan Zhu - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW
- Seong Chan Hong
ATP Challenger
31.07.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.23	Dennis Novak - Seong Chan Hong	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Seong Chan Hong - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Seong Chan Hong - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

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