Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo (Italy), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 June 2024, Friday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Federico Coria		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.74
	2.17	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.69	Watch
	2.07	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
45.2%

Daniel Altmaier
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Federico Coria - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Altmaier will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Coria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Altmaier is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Altmaier to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Federico Coria - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Federico Coria - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Federico Coria - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Federico Coria	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.24	Federico Coria - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
18.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Federico Coria - Daniel Altmaier	2:1
ATP Challenger
06.11.22	Federico Coria - Daniel Altmaier	0:2
29.10.22	Federico Coria - Daniel Altmaier	0:2
ATP Lyon
17.05.22	Daniel Altmaier - Federico Coria	1:2
ATP Challenger
08.09.20	Federico Coria - Daniel Altmaier	1:2

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