Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva (Switzerland), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Federico Coria		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.36	1.65
	2.33	1.67
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.12	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.18)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
42.5%

Denis Shapovalov
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	0%	52.4%

Federico Coria - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Federico Coria - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Jurij Rodionov - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Federico Coria - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi	Coria F. retired ✺
02.05.24	Francis Tiafoe - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWL?W
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWL

Federico Coria - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide