Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday


	Federico Coria		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.33	1.67
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.22	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.04)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
42.9%

Mariano Navone
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Federico Coria - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Navone will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Coria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Navone to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Federico Coria - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Sebastian Ofner - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
10.02.24	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.24	Mariano Navone - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Mariano Navone - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Corentin Moutet - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.11.23	Mariano Navone - Federico Coria	2:0
15.10.23	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	1:2
20.06.23	Mariano Navone - Federico Coria	2:1
19.10.22	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	2:1

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