Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	Federico Gaio		Blake Ellis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	3.7
	1.22	3.9	Watch
	1.21	4.19
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	3.85
	1.22	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.43)	3.92 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
76.3%

Blake Ellis
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Gaio's performance.

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blake Ellis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Gaio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blake Ellis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Federico Gaio - Blake Ellis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gaio will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ellis will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaio is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ellis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ellis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gaio is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ITF Tournaments
08.06.24	Federico Gaio - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
07.06.24	Federico Gaio - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Alexander Zgirovsky - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Simone Agostini - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
04.06.24	Paul Barbier Gazeu - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Blake Ellis - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
15.05.24	Blake Ellis - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Blake Ellis - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Blake Ellis - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Federico Gaio - Blake Ellis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide