Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Swan Hill (Australia), grass - Final

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Dane Sweeny		Blake Ellis

	1	2
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.94	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
47.4%

Blake Ellis
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dane Sweeny's performance.

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blake Ellis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ellis will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 665. Ellis is ranked ATP: 299.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sweeny won 2.

Sweeny is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ellis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sweeny won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Dane Sweeny - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Ethan Cook - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Matt Hulme - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWL
- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Christian Langmo - Blake Ellis	Langmo C. retired ✺
20.03.25	Jake Delaney - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Scott Jones - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	James Watt - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis	Ellis B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?WWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.10.24	Blake Ellis - Dane Sweeny	0:2
09.06.24	Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis	0:2
ITF Tournaments
11.11.21	Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis	0:2
08.09.21	Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis	2:0
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
27.08.20	Blake Ellis - Dane Sweeny	2:0
20.08.20	Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis	0:2
14.08.20	Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis	2:0

Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide