Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Referee: Luraghi A. (Ita)


	Federico Gaio		Blake Mott

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.71
	1.44	2.71
	1.4	2.75
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
65%

Blake Mott
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Blake Mott has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Gaio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Mott than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blake Mott, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federico Gaio - Blake Mott Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Gaio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mott is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mott could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Federico Gaio - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.06.24	Federico Gaio - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
07.06.24	Federico Gaio - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Alexander Zgirovsky - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Simone Agostini - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW
- Blake Mott
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Alexander Weis - Blake Mott	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Alexey Vatutin - Blake Mott	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	Blake Mott - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Blake Mott - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
23.05.24	Blake Mott - Aleksandre Bakshi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLL

Federico Gaio - Blake Mott: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide