Match Info

Date: 11 September 2020, Friday


	Federico Gaio		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.47	1.56
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.29)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
38.2%

Elias Ymer
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Federico Gaio - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Gaio will win (votes: 16 - 44.4%). Ymer will win (votes: 20 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 39.4% – 71.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Gaio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
08.09.20	Gilles Simon - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.20	Federico Gaio - Richard Berankis	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.08.20	Federico Gaio - Antoine Hoang	1:2 ✺
19.08.20	Federico Gaio - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
17.08.20	Federico Gaio - Matteo Viola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
08.09.20	Elias Ymer - Ruben Bemelmans	2:1 ✺
24.08.20	Elias Ymer - Ernests Gulbis	1:2 ✺
22.08.20	Elias Ymer - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
20.08.20	Michael Vrbensky - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
19.08.20	Elias Ymer - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Federico Gaio - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide