Match Info

Date: 9 November 2020, Monday


	Federico Gaio		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.8	1.25	Watch
	3.55	1.24
	4.05	1.25
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.42	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.05)	1.27 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
25.9%

Roman Safiullin
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Gaio's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Federico Gaio - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Safiullin will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Gaio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Safiullin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
03.11.20	Federico Gaio - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
29.10.20	Vit Kopriva - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
27.10.20	Federico Gaio - Nicola Kuhn	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Jaume Munar - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
16.10.20	Guilherme Clezar - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
05.11.20	Kamil Majchrzak - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
03.11.20	Mikael Torpegaard - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
30.10.20	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
29.10.20	Jeffrey John Wolf - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
27.10.20	Stefano Napolitano - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW

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