Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Roman Safiullin		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.60	2.18
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.66	2.32
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.54	2.45	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.52)	2.19 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
57.5%

Sebastian Ofner
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ofner will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 103. Ofner is ranked ATP: 127.

Safiullin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ofner has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Safiullin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Safiullin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Safiullin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Ofner - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.26	Roman Safiullin - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
03.07.26	Roman Safiullin - Joao Fonseca	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Roman Safiullin - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:2 ✺
29.06.26	Andrey Rublev - Roman Safiullin	2:3 ✺
25.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Jerome Kym	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Marco Trungelliti - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.26	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Sebastian Ofner - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	2:0
ATP Challenger
30.10.20	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	1:2

Upcoming Matches