Match Info

Date: 22 April 2022, Friday


	Federico Gaio		Steven Diez

	1	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.7	2.12
	1.68	2.02
	1.76	2.11
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.55	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	2.09 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
55.4%

Steven Diez
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Federico Gaio - Steven Diez Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Gaio will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gaio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
21.04.22	Federico Gaio - Denis Istomin	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Federico Gaio - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
13.04.22	Antoine Bellier - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
11.04.22	Pedja Krstin - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
05.04.22	Federico Gaio - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL
- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
21.04.22	Steven Diez - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Steven Diez - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.22	Jordan Thompson - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Gijs Brouwer - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Zachary Svajda - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.01.19	Federico Gaio - Steven Diez	1:1

Federico Gaio - Steven Diez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide