Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 3 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday


	Federico Iannaccone		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2	1.73
	2.15	1.66
	2.1	1.67
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.14	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.23)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Iannaccone
44%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Iannaccone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Iannaccone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Iannaccone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bailly is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bailly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bailly will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bailly to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Iannaccone
ITF Tournaments
11.04.23	Federico Iannaccone - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
05.04.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
04.04.23	Pietro Marino - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Federico Iannaccone - Fausto Tabacco	Iannaccone F. retired ✺
15.03.23	Noa Vukadin - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLW?W
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Pedro Cachin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Peter Heller	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Gerard Campana Lee - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Tom Gentzsch - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW

Federico Iannaccone - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide