Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Federico Iannaccone		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.62	2.16
	1.60	2.20	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.6	2.2
	1.65	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Iannaccone
57.6%

Jelle Sels
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Iannaccone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Federico Iannaccone - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 602. Sels is ranked ATP: 445.

Recent performances by Iannaccone have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sels has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jelle Sels - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Iannaccone
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Alessandro Pecci - Federico Iannaccone	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Federico Iannaccone	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Federico Iannaccone - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Federico Iannaccone - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 ?LWLW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Martin Damm - Jelle Sels	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Jelle Sels - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Ivan Gakhov - Jelle Sels	Gakhov I. Retired ✺
20.04.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?LL?W

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