Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.54	2.48
	1.47	2.55
	1.52	2.72
	1.44	2.75
	1.56	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	2.63 ↓ (3.22)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
63.8%

Aslan Karatsev
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felix Aliassime-Auger's form might have worsened.

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aslan Karatsev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.1%	0%	72.9%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 129 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 35 - 27.1%). Karatsev will win (votes: 94 - 72.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 65.2% – 80.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karatsev in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aliassime-Auger will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aliassime-Auger won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Australian Open
12.02.21	Denis Shapovalov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
09.02.21	James Duckworth - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
08.02.21	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
06.02.21	Daniel Evans - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
06.02.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Australian Open
12.02.21	Aslan Karatsev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	3:0 ✺
09.02.21	Egor Gerasimov - Aslan Karatsev	0:3 ✺
07.02.21	Gianluca Mager - Aslan Karatsev	0:3 ✺
13.01.21	Aslan Karatsev - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
12.01.21	Aslan Karatsev - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.19	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aslan Karatsev	0:1

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide