Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Felix Balshaw		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.10	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.05	1.68	Watch
	2.13	1.70
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Felix Balshaw
44.5%

Alejandro Moro Canas
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Balshaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

#ad

Preview

Balshaw is ranked ATP: 254. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 240.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Balshaw
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Felix Balshaw - Daniel Milavsky	1:2 ✺
13.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Felix Balshaw	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Florian Broska - Felix Balshaw	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Felix Balshaw - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Felix Balshaw - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
05.08.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches