Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Ivan Marrero Curbelo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.50
	1.32	3.1
	1.29	3.93
	1.29	3.22	Watch
	1.3	3	Watch
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.31	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	3.27 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
71.6%

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Alejandro Moro Canas - Ivan Marrero Curbelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 222. Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 369.

Moro Canas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marrero Curbelo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Marrero Curbelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moro Canas is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Soon Woo Kwon	0:3 ✺
24.06.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Francisco Comesana - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWL
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Enrique Collar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.06.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Keshav Chopra	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Volodymyr Iakubenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

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