Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion (Paraguay) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Felix Corwin		Victor Lilov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.79	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.57)	1.87 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Corwin
50.4%

Victor Lilov
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Corwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felix Corwin's form might have worsened.

Victor Lilov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victor Lilov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Corwin than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felix Corwin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victor Lilov than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victor Lilov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Felix Corwin - Victor Lilov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Corwin will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Lilov will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corwin: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Corwin is ranked ATP: 523. Lilov is ranked ATP: 862.

Corwin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lilov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Corwin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Corwin
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Felix Corwin - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Felix Corwin - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Felix Corwin - Pablo Cerutti	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Felix Corwin - Daniel Paty	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cannon Kingsley - Felix Corwin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW
- Victor Lilov
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Victor Lilov - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Juan Estevez - Victor Lilov	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Fernando Cavallo - Victor Lilov	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Victor Lilov - Daniel Paty	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Victor Lilov - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW

Felix Corwin - Victor Lilov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide