The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fernando Verdasco 58.7%
Alastair Gray 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fernando Verdasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fernando Verdasco's form might have worsened.
Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alastair Gray's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando Verdasco than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fernando Verdasco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alastair Gray, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
0%
58.3%
Fernando Verdasco - Alastair Gray Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Verdasco will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Gray will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gray: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Both players are now playing unstable.
Verdasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.