Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Poznan (Poland) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Malczyk K. (Pol)


	Filip Cristian Jianu		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.78	1.93
	1.45	2.8
	1.46	2.8
	1.8	1.91
	1.46	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.84)	2.4 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Cristian Jianu
60.3%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Cristian Jianu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Filip Cristian Jianu's performance.

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuel Vincent Ruggeri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Cristian Jianu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuel Vincent Ruggeri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Filip Cristian Jianu - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jianu will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Vincent Ruggeri will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jianu: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Jianu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Rudolf Molleker - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Ugo Blanchet - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Filip Cristian Jianu	Gomez F. A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.06.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Miljan Zekic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLW?L
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Matteo Gigante - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

Filip Cristian Jianu - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri