Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Vaasa, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vaasa 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Filip Peliwo		Matt Ponchet

	1	2
	1.62	2.10
	1.68	2.04
	1.66	2.25
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.61)	2.12 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Filip Peliwo
56.3%

Matt Ponchet
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Peliwo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Matt Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Filip Peliwo - Matt Ponchet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Peliwo is ranked ATP: 489. Ponchet is ranked ATP: 804.

Peliwo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peliwo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Filip Peliwo - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Peliwo
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Filip Peliwo - Kristjan Tamm	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Filip Peliwo - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Filip Peliwo - Arda Azkara	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Kody Pearson - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Joshua Charlton - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Matt Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Aleksi Lofman - Matt Ponchet	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Patrick Brady - Matt Ponchet	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Luke Hooper - Matt Ponchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Matt Ponchet	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Matt Ponchet - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matt Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Matt Ponchet - Martin Krumich	✺

Filip Peliwo - Matt Ponchet