Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tsukuba, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tsukuba 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Filip Peliwo		Taiyo Yamanaka

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Filip Peliwo
53.9%

Taiyo Yamanaka
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Peliwo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Taiyo Yamanaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taiyo Yamanaka than the current prediction. (-5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Peliwo is ranked ATP: 608. Yamanaka is ranked ATP: 906.

Peliwo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Yamanaka is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peliwo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peliwo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Peliwo
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Filip Peliwo - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Filip Peliwo - Shion Itsusaki	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Alex Knaff - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Uisung Park - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Hayden Jones - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Taiyo Yamanaka
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Taiyo Yamanaka - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Kosuke Shibano - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Ryo Tabata - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Taiyo Yamanaka - Junhyun Lee	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Michal Krajci - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taiyo Yamanaka
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Shinji Hazawa	✺

Filip Peliwo - Taiyo Yamanaka